But we can't do it without you. Although these recommendations are yet to be finalized, the next General Election will almost certainly be fought on a redrawn constituency map. @BritainElects. Polling includes only those that explicitly ask how the responder would vote in a hypothetical referendum on the United Kingdom rejoining the European Union, rather than repeating the remain/leave question of the 2016 referendum. Our mission is to hold the powerful to account. 23% 22 Feb: PeoplePolling: GB News UK We will not share your email address with any third parties. With plans for the establishment of a Scottish parliament in Holyrood by the Blair government in the late 1990s, support for Scottish independence rose once again. Sturgeon Still Scotland's Most Popular Politician Despite 12% Margin Against Independence, Lesley Riddoch: A Nordic solution to Scotlands invisibility within the UK, Tories could be reduced to third UK party, shock opinion poll warns, Nicola Sturgeon responds to popularity rating drop amid trans prisoner row. Former Conservative party chairman: Sue Gray appointment proves Starmer is man of the establishment. Data collected at regular intervals about or relating to Scottish independence, tracking changes over time. It found that the yes vote was ahead in only one age group, amongst 25-to-39-year-olds, while in all others no. Truss Extends Lead Over Sunak in Race to Lead UK, Poll Shows Savanta (23 February) which placed Labour on 45%, the Conservatives on 31%, and the Liberal Democrats on 9%. New YouGov projections suggest Tories could become UK's FOURTH party Truss Widens UK Poll Lead as U-Turn on Public-Worker Pay Gives Sunak Hope Scottish independence polls & surveys | YouGov Combining deep sector expertise with local knowledge to provide you with a deep understanding of your industry. NewsNow: Opinion polls news | Every Source, Every Five Minutes, 24/7 news Although we'd had a YouGov earlier in February, that was for the Scottish Opinion Monitor (Scoop) and YouGov have since clarified the questions were slightly different and thus not comparable. At 64 per cent, those respondents most likely to lean towards voting Green at the next election were also most likely to say that they support the GRR bill and that the UK Governments veto was wrong. Given that the parliamentary results in Wales and Scotland are influenced by the existence of a fourth major party (Plaid and the SNP), Politics.co.uk has undertaken separate analysis for swings in Welsh and Scottish constituencies. Scottish independence poll shows support cooling as referendum draws The survey puts Yes and No roughly neck-and-neck, which has been a consistent trend in polling for over a year. This drop off appears to dovetail with a growth in support in the opinion polls for the Scottish labour party under Anas Sarwar. The Conservative party regained a minor amount of ground in the first 3 weeks of the Rishi Sunak premiership, but Mr Sunaks honeymoon period has been short lived, and those advances stalled soon after Jeremy Hunts financial statement. Data collected from extensive surveys and snap polls about or relating to Voting Intention. Please try different keywords. Public Opinion Polls - For Women Scotland Related: Fear and Loathing in the New Conservatives. July 9, 2020 YouGov poll reveals vast majority (93%) of Brits don't wear real animal fur and do support a #FurFreeBritain; Government urged to end UK fur sales RT-Images/iStock.com Red fox lying in leaves LONDONBritish citizens overwhelmingly agree that the time has come for Britain to be fur-free. YOUGOV has recorded a boost in Scottish independence support, with backing for Yes up four points in its latest polling. Latest news on Scottish Opinion Polls, including political opinion polls, voting intention polls, and opinion poll analysis. In the case of Northern Ireland, with its own political parties, Politics.co.uk has drawn on the LucidTalk opinion poll of 3 February. Keir Starmer's lead over Rishi Sunak has increased to 7 pointsin terms of the party leader Britons think would make the best prime minister, by 34% (+2) to 27% (-1). Scotland should remain part of the UK without an elected parliament. The Aberdeen youth product is training with the under-21s after falling out-of-favour on Tyneside. Worst polling for Yes since 2019 as SNP support continues to drop, poll Again, the Scottish sample is even small (103 out of 993 once don't knows are removed) but the survey puts Labour in the lead north of the Border on 40 per cent of the vote. Use at least 8 characters, an uppercase and a lowercase letter, and a number or symbol. Should the public's feeling remain largely down. Full question: Nicola Sturgeon says the SNP will fight the next General Election as a de facto referendum on independence. Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "If another Scottish Independence Referendum were held today, how would you vote?" Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "Do you agree that Scotland should become an independent country?" Opinion polling on the United Kingdom rejoining the European Union 4th October 2022| In results published for the survey taken March 24-25, 2022 . We do not charge or put articles behind a paywall. Following a lull in political activity over Christmas 2021, the Conservatives appeared to be recovering in early 2022, clawing back approximately half of the poll losses that they had seen before the festive period. This feed updates continuously 24/7 so check back regularly. The latest survey from YouGov has put Labour on 46% and the . Opinion polling on Scottish independence is continually being carried out by various organisations to gauge public attitudes to independence. The exclusive poll, by Savanta ComRes for The Scotsman, has support for Yes at its lowest level since just before the 2019 general election, which saw Boris Johnson's Conservative party earn an . According to YouGov's latest poll of Welsh voters, the Tories are set to be left with just two MPs in the country after the next general election. Where does the public really stand on womens rights and proposals to reform the Gender Recognition Act? The latest voting intention survey puts Labour a whopping 28 points ahead of the Tories, with Rishi Sunak's party flirting with sub-20 numbers in what would be a historic low. , in which Scotland voted to remain in the EU. Most of the pollsters listed were members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abided by its disclosure rules.. Please read our privacy policy and terms of use before signing up. Easy-to-digest video clips. Under the current polling, Labour is on course to win seats in parts of the country where it has always been a distant spectator, such as both Bournemouth constituencies in Dorset, Macclesfield in Cheshire, Aylesbury in Buckingham, Southend East in Essex, Weston Super Mare, and Bromley and Chiselhurst in south east London. New poll shows majority of Scots in favour of same-sex marriage The latest YouGov/Times voting intention poll, conducted a fortnight after Rishi Sunak became prime minister, shows Labour maintaining a significant lead over the Conservatives. In early 2023, the No campaign had already regained an opinion poll lead, doing so at a time that coincided with the discussions about trans gender rights in the Scottish Parliament, and with the UK government subsequently invoking Section 35 of the Scotland Act for the first time in relation to the Gender Recognition Reform Bill. Please check you have typed it correctly. The current voting intention trend can be seen in the most recent individual polls: Delta Poll (27 February) which placed Labour on 46%, the Conservatives on 31%, and the Liberal Democrts on 8%. Most polling companies listed here are members of the . Early 2021. The above analysis of support for Scottish independence draws from the published polls of a number of leading firms: YouGov, Survation, ComRes, Redfield and Wilton, Panelbase, Detlapoll, Opinium and IpsosMori. The Boundary Commission is currently in the midst of a review designed to better equalise constituency sizes. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous Scottish Parliament election, held . The figures show the Conservatives on 28% of the vote (-4 from our previous survey on 21-23 September) to Labour's 45% (+5) this is the highest Labour lead YouGov has ever recorded. King Charles III retains popular support in Wales, new poll shows, but YouGov surveyed 1,043 Tory members and found that 60% said they'd vote for Truss, compared to 26% who opted for Sunak, the former chancellor whose resignation helped precipitate Johnson's . Question asked is stated in notes field. Critics pointed out that the survey contained many in the 24 to 49-year-old age bracket. : medium.com. Humza Yousaf blasted as he promises to spend taxpayer cash on more independence prospectuses, The Scottish Government health secretary, and front-runner to replace Nicola Sturgeon as First Minister, used his speech in Arbroath to claim that he was going to 'kickstart the independence campaign', Ange Postecoglou hails Reo Hatate Celtic impact as he makes 'another couple of levels' claim. This means that we may include adverts from us and third parties based on our knowledge of you. In all polls the dont knows are removed. NewsNow: YouGov news | Breaking News & Search 24/7 That lead then jumped to a staggering 24% in the three weeks after former chancellor Kwarsi Kwartengs mini budget and prior to Liz Truss resignation. Stay informed. Click to get a sign-in link sent to your email. Trend support for the Green Party has nudged up slightly to the 5%-6% mark. Last updated Feb 28, 2023 View all Articles (514) Voting Intention: Con 23%, Labour 46% politics 1 day ago Trackers Data collected at regular intervals about or relating to Voting Intention, tracking changes over time. At the end of the 1970s, support for Scottish independence was polling at little more than 10%. The rank outsider to become First Minister has only received the public backing of one serving politician, Joanna Cherry, amid struggles to get her campaign going. We haven't published any articles, trackers or survey results about Scottish independence. In late February 2022, and prior to the Russian invasion of Ukraine, there were some tentative signs that the Conservative position had recovered slightly from its early 2022 lows. If you'd like to find out more about how polls work, how reliable they are and how to make sense of them, check out my book, Polling UnPacked: the History, Uses and Abuses of Political Opinion Polls, or sign up for my weekly email: Scotlands political landscape after Nicola Sturgeon? This analysis has drawn on the latest opinion polls that were specific to Wales and Scotland respectively. If you can afford to contribute a small donation to the site it will help us to continue our work in the best interests of the public. It is vital that free media is allowed to exist to expose hypocrisy, corruption, wrongdoing and abuse of power. [1] Following that judgment, the SNP reiterated its intention to campaign in the next UK general election as a de facto independence referendum. Redfield and Wilton (26 February) which placed Labour on 51%, the Conservatives on 24%, and the Liberal Democrts on 9%. Energy & utilities. Copyright 2023 YouGov PLC. However, coinciding with the roll out of the coronavirus vaccine and the conclusion of Boris Johnsons Brexit deal at the end of 2020, the Conservative party once again opened up a significant election poll lead over Labour. This is the same constant level of dont knows that has been seen in most polls over the last 5 years. Click here to sign-in and subscribe via a link sent to your email. New projections based on YouGov polling suggest the Conservative Party could be reduced to the UKs fourth-biggest party at the next election. Latest opinion polls news, commentary and analysis, including political and voting intention polls, by polling companies including YouGov, Ipsos MORI and Survation. Can the public identify the Deputy Leader of the Labour Party? 48 hour snow warning for Scotland as Met Office predicts an icy start to spring, Don't put your winter woollies away yet! ", Question asked: "Would you vote SNP at the next General Election if a victory for them could lead to Scotland leaving the UK? Poll suggests Conservatives could be in danger of losing more than a Scottish election polls and latest odds - who will win in 2021? A YouGov poll published this morning (2 March) makes encouraging reading for the Prime Minister. Excludes 16 and 17 year-olds. Voting Intention polls & surveys | YouGov Britain Elects. Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "On a scale of 0 to 10 where 0 means 'I completely support Scotland becoming independent' and 10 means 'I completely support Scotland staying part of the UK' what number would you consider yourself to be?". CalMac warns of further disruption to ferry service due to lack of backup ferries, The ferry operator is facing frequent issues as it has to constantly repair the aging fleet which is blighted with problems due to the lack of back ups, Scottish lags misuse 4.1million taxpayer-funded mobile phones more than 7,000 times in three years, More than 4,082 inmates have been caught out for using mobile phones paid for by the taxpayers to commit crimes while in prison, Iconic Glasgow bakery Mortons Rolls 'ceases all trading' after 58 years. Excluding those who declare themselves to be undecided (currently around 6% of the electorate), polling averages from February 2023 places the Yes side at 47.1% and the No side at 52.9%. Opinion polling for UK general elections; 2010 election; Opinion polls: 2015 election; Opinion polls Leadership approval: 2017 election; Opinion polls Leadership approval: . Humza Yousaf takes the lead as SNP members swing behind Nicola Sturgeon's man, The 'worst health secretary in the history of devolution' is just ahead of his rivals in the SNP leadership contest, although a third of Nat members still don't know who to vote for, Ian Blackford 'looking forward' to end of police probe into SNP's 'murky' finances as he dodges Peter Murrell question. UK PM Johnson's Conservatives see support slump to lowest since Two new UK-wide opinion polls have added weight to the growing belief that Labour would be close to catching the SNP if a General Election were held anytime soon.. A survey for YouGov gives the SNP a vote share of 36 per cent, with Labour on 33 per cent, the Conservatives on 19 with the Lib Dems just ahead of the Greens on seven and five per cent respectively. That's according to a new YouGov poll commissioned by WalesOnline to mark St David's Day 2023. . ", Question asked: "As you may know, the UK Supreme Court has ruled that the Scottish Parliament cannot hold another independence referendum without the UK Government's agreement. Scots cop claims World's End serial killer committed 'three more murders in Glasgow ', Retired detective Allan Jones claims Sinclair should have been tried for the murders Anna Kenny, Hilda McAuley and Agnes Cooney, Eddie Howe makes damning Ryan Fraser Newcastle admission as Scotland star's 'commitment' questioned. Six reasons Labour might not win the next election alone, Urban Flight A real threat to many formerly safe seats in the Blue Wall. Coming into the autumn, the Conservatives appeared to have suffered no adverse polling impacts from either their proposed rise in national insurance, or the autumn fuel shortages. The YouGov poll of voting intention conducted over Wednesday and Thursday showed 54% support for Labour and 21% for the Conservatives. Should religious people be allowed to hold top political jobs? This page was last edited on 4 March 2023, at 10:18. In doing so the Lib Dems would defeat both the deputy prime minister, Dominic Raab, and the Chancellor, Jeremy Hunt. Rather than drop back after IndyRef1, and with the SNP remaining in government in Edinburgh under new first minister Nicola Sturgeon, support for Scottish independence continued to rise. YouGov found that voting intention in 53 such constituencies in the south and east of England currently held by the party stood at 44% for the Conservatives, 24% for Labour, 18% for the Liberal Democrats and 9% for the Greens. Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "On a scale of 0 to 10 where 0 means 'I completely oppose Scotland becoming an independent country' and 10 means 'I completely support Scotland becoming an independent country' what number would you consider yourself to be?". As a smaller poll, the margin of error on the major categories is approximately 4.4 percentage points, compared to 3 for typical polls of 1000 respondents. A new Yahoo News/YouGov poll finds that Florida Gov. A survey for YouGov gives the SNP a vote share of 36 per cent, with Labour on 33 per cent, the Conservatives on 19 with the Lib Dems just ahead of the Greens on seven and five per cent respectively. UK PM hopeful Sunak would have edge over Truss with swing voters - poll SNP depute leader Keith Brown said in September 2019 that it was "a deliberate bid to confuse independence with Brexit". Our first Tory members poll since the final two candidates were decided shows Liz Truss with a 24pt . Labour surges to record lead in polls as Truss insists mini-budget did conducted. Boost for Scottish independence as new poll puts Yes up four points Indeed by the time that the Scot, Gordon Brown, became prime minister in 2007, support for Scottish independence had fallen back to 24%, its lowest level for over two decades. When Johnson announced his resignation on July 7, 2022, YouGov polling showed Labour on 40% and the Tories on 29% an 11 point lead. Scottish Opinion Polls Recent Scottish opinion polls. Champion Newspapers Limited 20:21 22-Feb-23. Don't miss out! Notable recent election polls The Tories would be on seven MPs up one despite all the turmoil of the past 12 months with the Lib Dems also up one on five, according to the seat predictor from Electoral Calculus. Separate from the question of how Scots might vote in a hypothetical second referendum is the question of whether there should be a second referendum. Does Douglas Alexanders comeback herald the return of Labours Blairites? Latest Westminster voting intention (14-15 Feb)Con: 22% (-2 from 8-9 Feb)Lab: 50% (+3)Lib Dem: 9% (-1)Reform UK: 7% (+1)Green: 6% (=)SNP: 4% (=)https://t.co/WMc2U2wZbs pic.twitter.com/NZ9QZygUG7. Speaking on BBC Scotland's Good Morning Scotland programme, Nicola Sturgeon said her aim at May's Holyrood election was winning a . In 1997, the Yes side surpassed 40% in the polls for the first time. In Wales, Plaid Cymru is currently on course to lose one seat to Labour. Indeed Conservative support appeared to have grown slightly after Rishi Sunaks October 2021 budget. YouGov poll: The mental health and wellbeing of employees are not supported by legal firms Law News 15:47 3-Feb-23. However after the Scottish National Party (SNP) formed a minority government in Edinburgh, support for Scottish independence started to grow again after 2007. had started to nudge back up towards 40%. UK general election polls 2023 | Statista It was a survey of more than 1,700 British adults. Sorry, no headlines or news topics were found. Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2%. ((__lxGc__=window.__lxGc__||{'s':{},'b':0})['s']['_222513']=__lxGc__['s']['_222513']||{'b':{}})['b']['_680898']={'i':__lxGc__.b++}; Never miss the day's key interactions and exchanges in parliament. The latest YouGov panel has shown a shift against independence in several areas. Four in ten Scottish voters want Nicola Sturgeon to resign, new poll suggests, Four in 10 Scots think Sturgeon should stand down, poll finds, Nicola Sturgeon opinion poll finds more than three-quarters of Scots think she should go, First Minister of Scotland: Runners and riders. Labour would be nipping at their heels with 22 Scottish MPs, up from just one currently. Polling aggregator Stats for Lefties has calculated that, if this poll were repeated in a general election, the Tories would win just 17 seats behind Labour, the SNP and the Lib Dems. UK Opinion Polls News | Latest UK Opinion Polls - NewsNow Latest News In the case of Wales, Politics.co.uk has drawn on the most recent YouGov poll produced on 27 February. Crucially for the Union, the SNP would be some distance off a majority share if the election was to be regarded as a 'de facto' referendum on independence, as Nicola Sturgeon has suggested. A new poll published by YouGov Tuesday shows that Sunak would lose to any of his three remaining rivals among Tory members in a final two-way round of votes. Former prime minister Boris Johnson, net zero secretary Grant Shapps, and transport secretary Mark Harper, are amongst some of the leading political figures who would lose their seats to Labour. ((__lxGc__=window.__lxGc__||{'s':{},'b':0})['s']['_222513']=__lxGc__['s']['_222513']||{'b':{}})['b']['_680898']={'i':__lxGc__.b++}; Never miss the day's key interactions and exchanges in parliament. The YouGov polling for The Times also suggests widespread public dissatisfaction with the government's economic plan. You can unsubscribe whenever you want. Britain Elects deals in poll aggregation alongside analysis of upcoming elections and the state of British public opinion. Holy oil prepared to anoint King Charles III during coronation during ceremony in Jerusalem. The YouGov poll released on Monday night put the lead for the no campaign at six points, down from 14 points in the middle of August and 22 points early last month. Redfield and Wilton (5 February) which placed Labour on 50%, the Conservatives on 24%, and the Liberal Democrts on 10%. Could Labour Profit From Nicola Sturgeons Resignation? With the Conservatives polling over 50%, this lead briefly surpassed 20% at the beginning of the Covid pandemic in March and April 2020. Majority of people support NEU teacher strikes, YouGov poll finds Dorset Live 14:59 6-Feb-23. The latest monthly polling averages on Scottish independence show No campaigners to have consolidated their lead in the polls once again. What next for Jeremy Corbyn and the Labour left? Polling conducted before the 2014 Scottish independence referendum can be found here.. !function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",(function(e){if(void 0!==e.data["datawrapper-height"]){var t=document.querySelectorAll("iframe");for(var a in e.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var r=0;r Voting intention in the United Kingdom 2017-2023. Tory Votes: YouGov Poll Shows Rishi Sunak Losing Leadership Race in
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