We're in a pass-happy era, but Thomas has more receptions (470) and receiving yards (5,512) than any other players in league history through their first four seasons. Minnesota Vikings | Pro Football Hall of Fame Official Site Locks have a 100% chance of making it. All rights reserved. On a weekly basis, Evans is a volatile player, but his year-over-year production has been incredibly consistent. Pro Football Reference's Hall of Fame monitor ranks Edelman 110th among wide receivers, and that gives him credit for winning three Super Bowls. Last season, Thomas became the second wide receiver to win Offensive Player of the Year. I worry a little about Atkins because he plays in a small market and in an era in which he's second fiddle to a better version of the same player (Aaron Donald), but history suggests Atkins is in. He probably needs two more All-Pro seasons to finalize his case. Work to do (10% to 39%): S Tyrann Mathieu. Work to do (10% to 39%): OT Duane Brown. I'll do a little bit of projecting here and there, given historical aging curves and what we know about each player's injury history, but this is almost entirely about what each player has done so far. He could roll off a string of these nods in the years to come. So Johnson still has plenty of time for his credentials to be debated by the 49-person selection committee. He made it to four Pro Bowls in his first five seasons with the Ravens, and while that's the sort of production we associate with Hall of Famers, he wasn't able to earn a first-team All-Pro nod over that stretch. Lock (100%): TE Jason Witten. Do you have a sports website? Hunter just needs more individual recognition to raise his chances. The only eligible player with that sort of rsum who hasn't made it to Canton is Webb, and while Webb was also a left tackle, he didn't make a single Pro Bowl after turning 30. If Brown has a Whitworth-esque autumn to his career, he has a shot. Not knowing anything else about Burrow beyond where and when he was drafted, his Hall of Fame chances before starting his career come in by that small sample around 20%. Gronkowski dominated at his position, played a key role on four Super Bowl winners, was on the all-2010s team and a first time All-Pro on four occasions. 8/16/2011. Work to do (10% to 39%): TE George Kittle, DE Nick Bosa. Martin, who also turns 30 during the season, might not even need another nod. He has been one of the five best players at the second-most lucrative position in football over the past five years, and the fact that he was traded for two first-round picks and then delivered a wildly successful season with all of that attention in 2018 helps him. Ryan's case is trickier. Washington Commanders sign former Chiefs wide receiver/special teamer (Justin Simmons, who was one of the NFL's best safeties a year ago, is still waiting for his first Pro Bowl appearance.). In the running (40% to 69%): RB Saquon Barkley. Projecting future Hall of Famers for all 32 NFL teams - ESPN.com The guy who hasn't played a single NFL snap? He isn't going to catch Jerry Rice, but he's just under 5,000 yards behind Larry Fitzgerald, who ranks second in career receiving yards. When a group consists of you and Jerry Rice, you've done something right. Pouncey fits that magic 8+2 formula I mentioned earlier with regard to Atkins, and at 31, he should still have a couple more Pro Bowls in him. Find out more. The Hall site draws a distinction, interestingly, between wide receivers and ends. Charley Taylor. Just play along. That's just about a magic formula for getting into the Hall. After being retired for five years, players maintain modern-era eligibility for 20 years, after which their cases go to the seniors committee. Hester was a (great) returner, which typically doesn't inspire the same sort of fervor as other All-Pro nods, while Jackson actually started with three consecutive All-Pro nods before dropping off and retiring after nine years. Hes too similar to other Hall-of-Famers and future Hall-of-Famers not to be taken seriously. Every two-time winner got in easily, so while Watt might not have the longevity he hoped for, the Houston icon could retire tomorrow and get in. Rivers is probably the most difficult case to parse among veteran players. Longtime teammate Jeff Bagwell, meanwhile, had to wait until his seventh year on the ballot before gaining enshrinement to Cooperstown. In both cases, I'm looking mostly at the historical output for first overall picks. Radio Hall of Fame Announces 2021 Inductees - Radio World Edelman's case rests entirely on playoff and Super Bowl production. Adams has two Pro Bowls and an All-Pro nod across his first three seasons, putting him in a group with safeties such as Kenny Easley, Steve Atwater, Ed Reed and Troy Polamalu. The Defensive Player of the Year candidate was named a first-team All-Pro in 2015 and 2019, but he hasn't received any other nominations across his other five pro seasons. To use an example, I don't think Eli Manning has the rsum of a Hall of Fame quarterback, but history tells us that most quarterbacks who win two Super Bowls typically get in. McCardell and Smith dubbed "Thunder . Xavien Howard made the Pro Bowl in 2018 and would be the best candidate, but he has missed an average of six games per season across his four pro campaigns. Byard was a first-team All-Pro in 2017 when he led the league with eight picks, but despite playing at an upper-echelon level over the ensuing two seasons, he hasn't received the same consideration. The 49ers' two-decade-plus string of Pro Bowl quarterbacks and near-two-decade run of employing an all-time receiving talent abruptly stopped in 2004. Hes No. An interesting case could be made for Frank Gore, who is third all-time in rushing with 16,000 yards in a 16-season career with five teams, but tied for 19th in touchdowns with 81. Many of the modern-era players to whom hes statistically comparable played well into their 30s. In 1996, he decided to play football full-time. Work to do (10% to 39%): LB Tremaine Edmunds. Bosa won Defensive Rookie of the Year, which hasn't been quite as big of a boon as you might think. Players with two Pro Bowls and one first-team All-Pro spot across their first three seasons who are eligible for the Hall have made it just over 48% of the time. The Nebraska product nearly won a Super Bowl with the Rams in 2018, but a win with the Bucs and one more All-Pro appearance would greatly help his chances. The Cowboys are blessed with two linemen bound for Canton. Hill's game still relies on speed, so he could be more susceptible to a career shortened by injuries than most other candidates, but if he gets three more seasons with Mahomes, he's probably in. I think the PED suspensions could help keep out players like Edelman and Lane Johnson, but it's tough to imagine Peterson not making it. What do Johnsons future prospects look like? Grading the Jamal Adams trade The 2020 No. Mosley's case, meanwhile, has stalled in New York. Thielen only emerged as a starter after turning 26, which means he would have to play into his late 30s to have a chance at racking up the cumulative stats modern wide receivers will need for enshrinement. Given his style, I worry about his aging curve versus that of tight ends who are basically glorified wide receivers. Wilson is somewhere in the 90% range. In the running (40% to 69%): DE Joey Bosa, S Derwin James. Pro Football WR Hall of Fame Monitor The Pro Football Reference Hall of Fame Monitor (HOFm) is a metric designed to estimate a player's chances of making the Pro Football Hall of Fame using AV, Pro Bowls, All-Pros, championships, and various stat milestones. While James is closer to the 69% end of the spectrum here, Bosa's more toward 40%. Lock (100%): RB Adrian Peterson. If he can stay healthy, he's probably going to retire in the top 10 for career passing yardage, but will that really be enough to get him in without more individual awards or team success? As it stands, though, Gurley doesn't have enough on his rsum to get in. But history suggests that his on-field performance makes him a Hall of Fame lock. From 2015 to 2019, his numbers are virtually identical to those of Eric Ebron. Kamara took a step backward last season when he ran into some touchdown regression, but he still did enough to earn his third Pro Bowl appearance in three years. Tight ends have relatively short careers, which makes projecting their Hall chances exceedingly difficult. 7 overall in the 2014 draft at the age of 20. He made only two Pro Bowls with the Cardinals, which was a farce. By Paul Mclane . Vinatieri is arguably the greatest clutch kicker in NFL history, twice making last-second field goals to win Super Bowls and also making another famous kick in the Tuck Rule game that helped launch New Englands dynasty. There are another 11 players who aren't yet Hall-eligible, and five of them are locks to do the same. Warren Moon played until he was 44. Even so, I think hell eventually get there. He was a Pro Bowler in 2017 and has 37.5 sacks over his first four pro seasons, but he was overshadowed a bit by Campbell over that time frame. While Pro Bowls and All-Pro awards are hardly gospel, they're the best measure we have of how league observers valued a particular player in his time. Browns, Jets to open 2023 NFL preseason in Hall of Fame Game Pro Football Reference Hall of Fame Monitor, Frequently Asked Questions about the NFL and Football, Pro-Football-Reference.com Blog and Articles, Subscribe to Stathead Football: Get your first month FREE. While he has made six Pro Bowls, that's not typically enough for interior linemen to make it into the Hall. Try selecting a different location. The Notre Dame product probably needs a second one to have a viable shot at Canton. Goff took a major step backward in 2019 and doesn't appear to be on the same level as the other top quarterbacks in the conference. Lock (100%): LB Von Miller. to put up the accumulation stats often needed to bolster a Hall-of-Fame case. ARI | ATL | BAL | BUF | CAR | CHI | CIN If James gets back there this season, he might even be able to jump into the Likely category. If you want to know why people are excited about the Cowboys' offense in 2020, consider that they could have as many as five future Hall of Famers lining up when everyone's healthy. Just six of 32 Hall-eligible winners made it to Canton, although that's going to rise in the years to come as the likes of Charles Woodson and Julius Peppers win enshrinement. That might bode well for Suggs case, especially with the premium placed on pass rushers in the modern NFL. Graham's case is interesting. The End of In-Person Voting for Future Hall-of-Fame Classes? Maybe Not DISCLAIMER: This site is 100% for entertainment purposes only and does not involve real money betting. Ngakoue has deserved more attention and might get it in a new locale if the Jaguars honor his request and trade the 25-year-old before the season begins. Work to do (10% to 39%): QB Matthew Stafford, CB Jeff Okudah. After missing the postseason for the first time in four years, the Green Bay Packers will now spend their offseason with one topic at the forefront of their internal conversations: the future of Aaron Rodgers. Use without license or authorization is expressly prohibited. Things would be different if he had actually won the MVP award or been the quarterback who ran the Eagles through the playoffs in 2017. Whether Johnson will be there to welcome Watt into the Hall of Fame will be interesting. Typically, there are between 45 and 50 Hall of Famers playing at any one time. Hilton, DE Justin Houston, DT DeForest Buckner, CB Xavier Rhodes. Art Monk<br>1980-1995. Rams' best draft class featured two Hall of Fame wide receivers - Los The big deal he signed with the Jags and the subsequent 14.5-sack campaign he posted in leading them to the AFC Championship Game turned the tide, as Campbell was a first-team All-Pro and made three consecutive Pro Bowl trips with Jacksonville. The three have career numbers that are comparable, and Holt and Wayne had the good fortune of playing with Hall of Fame quarterbacks (Kurt Warner and Peyton Manning) while winning Super Bowls. I believe Evans will be in the NFL Hall of Fame someday, and in this piece I hit on a few of the reasons for my position. Green. All but Gronkowski generated controversial off-field headlines, but the Hall voters only debate what is accomplished on the field. Draft a league now and start fresh with a 0-0 record and a shortened schedule. I think Rivers probably gets in, but it might take a while. QB Anthony Richardson rejects 'project label' entering combine, Texans terminate center Justin Britt's contract, Bun B, Badu, J.J. Watt celebrate RodeoHouston Southern Takeover. If he can keep this level of play up for three more seasons, Jordan could get in. 10 Hall of Fame-Worthy NFL Wide Receivers (not named Julian Edelman) We present them here for purely educational purposes. Jets, Browns tapped for 2023 NFL Hall of Fame Game Both players are on a streak, and their chances depend on keeping that streak going. Since 1950, 12 players have won two or more rushing titles. Jaguars won't spend big, but here are five players they could target in free agency, 2023 NFL franchise tag tracker: Raiders tag Josh Jacobs, the NFL's rushing leader. After that, we have players who are Likely to get in, who I estimate have between a 70% and 99% chance of earning induction. Vander Esch's chances are stronger than his fellow linebacker because he was a first-round pick and made the Pro Bowl as a rookie, while Smith was a second-round pick and didn't make it until his third campaign. Pro Football Reference's Hall of Fame monitor ranks Edelman 110th among wide receivers, and that gives him credit for winning three Super Bowls. Texans great Andre Johnson fell short of election to the Hall of Fame again this year in his second time as a modern-era finalist. 1 pick and winning Offensive Rookie of the Year, but that hasn't historically been a helpful combination. Art Monk. Like Hill, if Kelce gets three more seasons with Mahomes, I think he's a Hall of Famer. I haven't included players who I believe have no more than a 10% chance of making it into the Hall. Browns star left tackle Joe Thomas and Jets greats Joe . If you need something more, Fitzgerald's 2008 playoff run is probably the best postseason from any receiver in league history. Once again, its wait til next year for Texans great Andre Johnson when it comes to the Pro Football Hall of Fame. Casey has made five consecutive Pro Bowls, but the Titans were willing to cut him this offseason before trading him for a seventh-round pick, which also seems telling about where they saw his future. Kuechly played just eight seasons with the Panthers from 2012-19, but they were very good ones, with five first team All-Pro selections, seven Pro Bowls and a spot on the All-2010s team. And thanks to coach Kelvin Sampson and the assistants he Solomon: DeMeco Ryans the right coach at the right time, 3 pressing questions facing new Astros GM Dana Brown, Jabari Smith Jr. growing up in NBA with an assist from his father, Poor parent behavior is driving high school sports refs away. Winning an MVP in Year 2 obviously leaps Jackson into consideration on its own, but it doesn't seal it. Membership Foundation Corporate Partners Artifact Donations Commemorative Brick . James was a first-team All-Pro as a rookie, and while he missed 11 games in 2019 with a foot injury, he should get back on track in 2020. Also, if a guy enters the league at a young age, he could theoretically have a longer NFL career, which would give him more time in the second half (or post-peak portion) of his career to put up the accumulation stats often needed to bolster a Hall-of-Fame case. With their city hosting the Final Four, the Cougars don't shy from national title talk. Rent the Hall. He also has worked at the Austin American-Statesman and Temple Daily Telegram. Cooper has made four Pro Bowls in his first five seasons. Lock (100%): WR Larry Fitzgerald. Hall of Famer predicts controversial team for Rodgers. Naturally, now seems like a good time to look forward. Rockets great and championship coach Rudy Tomjanovich was only inducted in the Basketball Hall of Fame in 2021. He has three first-team All-Pro nods and a Super Bowl MVP before turning 31. More NFL coverage . In the running (40% to 69%): DE Chandler Jones. Theyre easily first-ballot selections. In Week 9, he led the league with 180 yards receiving, and for the year, hes No. Houston probably had the best shot of these four earlier in his career, given that he made four consecutive Pro Bowls and led the league with 22 sacks in 2014, but he hasn't been dominant since dealing with a knee injury between 2015 and 2016. In the running (40% to 69%): DE Danielle Hunter, S Harrison Smith. If his career lasts only six or seven seasons, though, he'll have to be a perennial All-Pro to make it to Canton. Suggs logged 139 sacks, good for eighth all-time. Larry Fitzgerald Says Aaron Rodgers Should Play for the Dallas Cowboys Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers (12) hands off. In the running (40% to 69%): QB Cam Newton, CB Stephon Gilmore. Jones is likely to top 13,000 receiving yards and earn his eighth Pro Bowl nod this season, which should be enough to seal things for the superstar wideout. As long as Willis gets in, Wagner could retire tomorrow and follow his former rival right through the front door. He needs only three more years to get to 60,000 passing yards, and if that gets Philip Rivers in, Ryan shouldn't have much trouble. He also came up with an interception while winning his first Super Bowl, which helps his case. Mike Evans is on pace to be a Hall of Fame caliber wide receiver Likely (70% to 99%): WR DeAndre Hopkins, CB Patrick Peterson. In the running (40% to 69%): DE Josh Allen. Tom Fears, WR, UCLA, 11th round, 103rd overall: Work to do (10% to 39%): QB Kyler Murray, S Budda Baker. What happens next is critical for Gurley, who would have seemed on the road to Canton after taking home Offensive Rookie of the Year in 2015 and adding an Offensive Player of the Year award two years later. Work to do (10% to 39%): WR T.Y. I think he'll end up getting in because he has simply racked up numbers year after year without missing much time, although I could also see an argument that he hasn't done enough outside of that one brilliant year. The only thing likely to keep him out of Canton is an electorate that habitually underrates interior offensive linemen in favor of an endless stream of running backs. Early in a player's career, I'm also comfortable using draft status as an estimate of talent until they establish themselves as pros, which will lead to some very inexperienced players making this list. Question, Comment, Feedback, or Correction? In the running (40% to 69%): WR A.J. Pro Football WR Hall of Fame Monitor If pro football did what hockey used to and waive the waiting period for the likes of Gordie Howe, Wayne Gretzky and Mario Lemieux, it could be argued Brady deserves the same treatment. All HOFm Positions: QBRBWRTEGTCDTDEILBOLBDBKP, Every Sports Reference Social Media Account, Site Last Updated: Saturday, March 4, 2:32PM. Most importantly: This is my opinion of who is likely to get in given current rsums, not who belongs in. The NFL's 53 Most Likely Future Hall of Fame Players Quarterback Drew Brees and wide receiver Larry Fitzgerald are the two prominent ballot newcomers. CLE | DAL | DEN | DET | GB | HOU | IND Lewan has three Pro Bowls. Leonard, with one All-Pro spot and a Pro Bowl appearance last year, is right behind. Our reasoning for presenting offensive logos. Ingram wasn't very good for extended stretches of time until his fourth season in the league in New Orleans, and while he has made three Pro Bowls since, he hasn't had a top-five season in terms of production or won a Super Bowl. Evans and Godwin might end up hurting each other's chances by preventing the other from getting a 185-target season like the one Michael Thomas enjoyed in 2019. In the running (40% to 69%): QB Philip Rivers, G Quenton Nelson, LB Darius Leonard. If he recovers and returns to his 2017-18 form, he still has plenty of time to get back on the Canton track, given that he turned 26 this week. Garrett has played at a much higher level than Mayfield, but the $125 million man has missed 11 of 48 games thanks to various injuries and his season-ending suspension in 2019. He might not make it on the first ballot, but he should make it eventually. What will define Eric Bieniemy's success? NFL Nation: Analysis for every pick Dan Orlovsky denounces the NFL Network's Top 100 players for 2020 for excluding Eagles quarterback Carson Wentz. Unless Evans has a Powell-esque decline or gets radically overshadowed by a teammate la Holt with Isaac Bruce, then Evans seems to have a good chance to get into the Hall eventually. Future Hall of Fame wide receiver hosted as guest speaker this - Yahoo! The Ring of Honor recognizes Vikings legends for their contributions to the success of the team on and off the field. Radio Hall of Fame Announces 2021 Inductees - RADIO ONLINE In the running (40% to 69%): RB Christian McCaffrey. Or write about sports? He's the second-most productive receiver in football history. If Evans goes his entire career without gaining widespread notoriety or making a memorable run in the playoffs even if he has a long and steadily productive career and is regarded as one of the top receivers of his generation his chances to make the Hall of Fame will be materially diminished. Since there have been only 346 people elected to the Hall of Fame (some of whom aren't even players), we don't always have great measures or estimates for what players at each given position have to do to make it. The Hall is forgiving of running backs, and Bell's versatility should age well, but he has missed a lot of time through injuries, suspensions and his 2018 holdout. As good as third-year receiver Chris Godwin has been for the Bucs this season, its hard to say that hes anything more than the Anquan Boldin to Evans Fitz.
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